Rebecca Sramkova vs Anna BlinkovaToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#141WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLWWLL
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
hard
#104WTA
1694ELO
1654Hard ELO
27 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLLWWLWLW
Sramkova R.
vs
Blinkova A.

Rebecca Sramkova faces Anna Blinkova in the Toronto round of 128 on hard. Anna Blinkova holds the paper edge — ranked #104, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 30-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Sramkova R.50%
Blinkova A.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
5 common opponents · Sramkova R. 1–4 · Blinkova A. 3–2
Both lost · same surface
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1629
Surface ELO
5.3+25 Hard Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1654
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1694
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

30 vs 37 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
58%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
53%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
1.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sramkova R.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Blinkova A.

Blinkova A.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Sramkova R.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
58
32
Break points saved·Clear edge
27
5
Break points won·Even
80
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
91
29
Tiebreaks·Dominant
55
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
84

Sramkova R.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 52 games (7d) · Blinkova A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather forecast
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 93%

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-27W60 Andrezieux-BoutheonR16hardAnna Blinkova6-4 6-4

Draw