Dali Blanch vs Rudolf MollekerHagen Qualifying Semi-final

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#306ATP
1536ELO
1523Clay ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLLWWLWW
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
clay
#484ATP
1387ELO
1382Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLLWWLLWWL
Blanch D.
vs
Molleker R.

Dali Blanch faces Rudolf Molleker in the Hagen qualifying semi-final on clay. Dali Blanch holds the paper edge — ranked #306, a roughly 140-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Blanch D.62%
Molleker R.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Blanch D. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.8+141 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.2Clay Elo 1382
6.9Overall Elo 1536
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1387
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

24 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
6.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Blanch D.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Molleker R.

Molleker R.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Blanch D.

Serve advantage — Blanch D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
13
10
Break points saved·Dominant
21
69
Break points won·Dominant
37
12
Deciding sets·Clear edge
23
5
Tiebreaks·Dominant
64
24

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
83
89

Blanch D.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Molleker R.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw