Nikolai Barsukov vs Mika PetkovicHagen Qualifying Semi-final

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#728ATP
19 yrs
Last 10
LWWLWWLWLL
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 ·
clay
#428ATP
19 yrs
Last 10
LWLWWLWWLW
Barsukov N.
vs
Petkovic M.

Nikolai Barsukov faces Mika Petkovic in the Hagen qualifying semi-final on clay. Mika Petkovic holds the paper edge — ranked #428. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Barsukov N.34%
Petkovic M.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Petkovic M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Nikolai Barsukov carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Nikolai Barsukov 5 of 10, Mika Petkovic 6 of 10 on clay recently — Mika Petkovic the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
5.76 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

9 vs 9 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
54%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
2.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Barsukov N.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Petkovic M.

Petkovic M.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Barsukov N.

Serve advantage — Petkovic M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
82

Petkovic M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw