Anastasia Kulikova vs Ayana Akli β€” W75 Lexington Final

W75 Lexington Β· ITF Β· Final
#314WTA
1419ELO
1403Hard ELO
$27kYTD
$242kCAREER
26 yrs Β· Left-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
2 β€” 0
Sets
Sunday, 2 August 2026 Β·
hard
#289WTA
1381ELO
1397Hard ELO
$77kYTD
$203kCAREER
25 yrs Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLLLWWWWWW
Kulikova A.
7-5 6-4
Akli A.
Kulikova A.
762
Akli A.
540

Anastasia Kulikova won the W75 Lexington final, defeating Ayana Akli 7-5, 6-4. Kulikova hit one ace and four double faults, while Akli had three aces and six double faults. Kulikova converted 57 percent of her break points and won four service breaks to Akli's two.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
62%
56%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
48%
45%
Service points wonΒ·Slight edge
57%
52%
Return points wonΒ·Even
46%
44%
Break points savedΒ·Slight edge
58%
47%
Aces / matchΒ·Slight edge
2.2
0.9
Double faults / matchΒ·Even
3.2
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 16:50 UTC
Kulikova A.33%
Akli A.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Akli A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+6 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1397
5.5Overall Elo 1419
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1381
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.1Won 68% in Usa (80)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
FreshnessΒ·Slight edge
80
86

Kulikova A.: 2 days rest Β· 2 matches, 41 games (7d) Β· Akli A.: 1 day rest Β· 2 matches, 32 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23Β°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw