Alexandra Korneeva vs Mary StoianaToronto Qualifying Final

Toronto · WTA · Qualifying Final
17 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
#124WTA
1656ELO
1567Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLWL
Korneeva A.
2-6 6-4 6-3
Stoiana M.
Korneeva A.
2662
Stoiana M.
6431

Alexandra Korneeva won the Toronto final, defeating Mary Stoiana 2-6, 6-4, 6-3. Korneeva hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, while Stoiana had 2 aces and 5 double faults. The players converted an equal number of service breaks, 5 each, but Korneeva won the match.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
64%
1st serve points won·
63%
2nd serve points won·
48%
Service points won·
58%
Return points won·
45%
Break points saved·
56%
Aces / match·
1.8
Double faults / match·
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Korneeva A.37%
Stoiana M.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Stoiana M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.54 of last 6 on hard
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
99
86

Korneeva A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Stoiana M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw