Alexei Popyrin vs Thanasi Kokkinakis — Montreal Qualifying Final
AUS10
Popyrin A.Alexei Popyrin faces Thanasi Kokkinakis in the Montreal qualifying final on hard. They have met 2 times, Thanasi Kokkinakis leading 2–0, Thanasi Kokkinakis ahead 1–0 on hard.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Kokkinakis T. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Alexei Popyrin comes in with 3 days of rest and 28 games in 14d, vs Thanasi Kokkinakis's 10 and 48.
- Head-to-head: Thanasi Kokkinakis leads the head-to-head 2–0, 0–1 on hard. Last met at Roland Garros 2024.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadPopyrin A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Kokkinakis T.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–2| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | R128 | clay | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 4-6 7-6 6-3 5-7 6-3 |
| 2023-01-09 | Adelaide 2 | R32 | hard | Thanasi Kokkinakis | 6-0 6-7 7-5 |