Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer — Montreal Q32
JPNQ
NOR27
Shimabukuro S.
Sho Shimabukuro won the Montreal hard-court final, defeating Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 6-3, 6-4. Shimabukuro hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, winning 59% of first-serve points and converting 86% of break points. He earned 6 service breaks to Kjaer's 4.
Key context
- Match story: Sho Shimabukuro closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadShimabukuro S.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Budkov Kjaer N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 65 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About