Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer — Montreal Qualifying Final
JPN7
NOR27
Shimabukuro S.
Sho Shimabukuro faces Nicolai Budkov Kjaer in the Montreal qualifying final on hard. Sho Shimabukuro holds the paper edge — ranked #94.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Sho Shimabukuro comes in with 3 days of rest and 33 games in 14d, vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer's 11 and 22.
- Serve & return: Serve-return mismatch: Sho Shimabukuro grades 61 on serve, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 36 on return.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadShimabukuro S.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Budkov Kjaer N.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.