Kristina Liutova vs Elvina Kalieva — Memphis Semi-final
Liutova K.
Kristina Liutova faces Elvina Kalieva in the Memphis semi-final on hard. Elvina Kalieva is the paper favourite — ranked #132 — but Kristina Liutova arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 7 on hard to Elvina Kalieva's 5.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 02:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Kristina Liutova 89 games in 14 days, Elvina Kalieva 53.
- Win streak: Both arrive in form — Kristina Liutova on a 14-match run, Elvina Kalieva on 3.
- Surface form: Kristina Liutova 6 of 7, Elvina Kalieva 5 of 7 on hard recently — Kristina Liutova the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadLiutova K.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 89 games (7d) · Kalieva E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.