Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Aoi ItoToronto Qualifying Final

Toronto · WTA · Qualifying Final
#97WTA
1670ELO
1660Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
#235WTA
1549ELO
1568Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLLL
Selekhmeteva O.
0-6 7-6 4-6
Ito A.
Selekhmeteva O.
071041
Ito A.
66862

Aoi Ito won the Toronto final, defeating Oksana Selekhmeteva 6-0, 6-7, 6-4. Ito served 7 double faults and converted 67 percent of her break points, while Selekhmeteva had 13 double faults and converted 50 percent of her break points. Ito secured 6 service breaks to Selekhmeteva's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
44%
Service points won·Even
54%
53%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.7
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Selekhmeteva O.50%
Ito A.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+92 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1568
6.5Overall Elo 1670
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1549
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.04 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
74

Selekhmeteva O.: 19 days rest · Ito A.: 6 days rest · 3 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw