Jaime Faria vs C. O'ConnellMontreal Q32

Montreal · ATP · Q32
#79ATP
1735ELO
1615Hard ELO
$531kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
#129ATP
32 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLLW
Faria J.
7-6 2-6 4-6
O'Connell C.
Faria J.
710241
O'Connell C.
68662

Chris O'Connell won the Montreal hard-court tournament final, defeating Jaime Faria 6-7, 6-2, 6-4. The match was decided over three sets. O'Connell claimed the title.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.1
8.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (50 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
25
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
96
Break points won·Clear edge
22
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
81
5
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Faria J.69%
O'Connell C.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Faria J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.78 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
59
71

Faria J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 90 games (7d) · O'Connell C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw