Dalibor Svrcina vs Titouan Droguet — Montreal Qualifying Final

Montreal · ATP · Qualifying Final
Dalibor Svrcina
CZE15
Dalibor Svrcina
#116ATP
1640ELO
1624Hard ELO
$304kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWLLWW
—
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
Titouan Droguet
FRA17
Titouan Droguet
#119ATP
1717ELO
1650Hard ELO
$295kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWWLWWWW
Svrcina D.
vs
Droguet T.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Svrcina D.49%
Droguet T.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
3 common opponents · Svrcina D. 1–3 · Droguet T. 1–4 · small sample
Both lost · same surface, 2 days apart▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Svrcina D.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Droguet T.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1624
Surface ELO
5.3+26 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1640
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1717
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

23 vs 30 matches

Statistics

This season
Svrcina D.Droguet T.
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.8
8.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Svrcina D.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Droguet T.

Droguet T.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Svrcina D.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Svrcina D.Droguet T.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
34
64
Break points saved·Dominant
44
88
Break points won·Dominant
90
17
Deciding sets·Dominant
27
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
30
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Svrcina D.Droguet T.
Freshness·Dominant
70
95

Svrcina D.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 56 games (7d) · Droguet T.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw