Harriet Dart vs Sloane Stephens — Toronto Qualifying Final
Dart H.
Harriet Dart faces Sloane Stephens in the Toronto qualifying final on hard. Harriet Dart holds the paper edge — ranked #143. Recent hard form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Form trend: Sloane Stephens's form has been trending up over recent weeks, while Harriet Dart's has cooled.
- Under pressure: Sloane Stephens has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 54 vs Harriet Dart's 33).
- Fatigue load: Sloane Stephens carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadDart H.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 51 games (7d) · Stephens S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.