Benjamin Bonzi vs Hugo DellienMontreal Qualifying Final

Montreal · ATP · Qualifying Final
#101ATP
1749ELO
1713Hard ELO
$396kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWLLWWLWW
Sets
Saturday, 1 August 2026 ·
hard
#143ATP
1637ELO
1486Hard ELO
$236kYTD
$3.2MCAREER
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLWLWWWWW
Bonzi B.
vs
Dellien H.

Benjamin Bonzi faces Hugo Dellien in the Montreal qualifying final on hard. Benjamin Bonzi holds the paper edge — ranked #101, leading the head-to-head 2–0, a roughly 230-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC
Bonzi B.75%
Dellien H.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bonzi B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Head-to-head: Benjamin Bonzi leads the head-to-head 2–0; this is their first meeting on hard. Last met at Roland Garros 2024.
  • Fatigue load: Benjamin Bonzi carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
4 common opponents · Bonzi B. 5–1 · Dellien H. 0–5 · small sample
Both lost · different surfaces (Hard × Clay)
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+227 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1486
6.4Overall Elo 1749
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1637
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.13 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

28 vs 34 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Bonzi B.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Dellien H.

Dellien H.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bonzi B.

Serve advantage — Dellien H.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
26
15
Break points saved·Dominant
94
60
Break points won·Slight edge
15
7
Deciding sets·Dominant
10
65
Tiebreaks·Dominant
82
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
59
84

Bonzi B.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 87 games (7d) · Dellien H.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 60%

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosQ1clayBenjamin Bonzi3-6 6-4 6-2
2024-05-20Roland GarrosQ128clayBenjamin Bonzi3-6 6-4 6-2

Draw