Darja Vidmanova vs Katie Volynets — Memphis Quarter-final

Memphis · WTA · Quarter-final
CZE
Darja Vidmanova
#114WTA
1675ELO
1665Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWWLWW
—
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 4th on
Katie Volynets
USA
Katie Volynets
#93WTA
1786ELO
1736Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWWWLWW
Vidmanova D.
vs
Volynets K.

Darja Vidmanova faces Katie Volynets in the Memphis quarter-final on hard. Katie Volynets holds the paper edge — ranked #93, a roughly 70-point hard Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Vidmanova D.42%
Volynets K.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Volynets K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
5 common opponents · Vidmanova D. 1–5 · Volynets K. 4–2
Both lost · same surface▾
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vidmanova D.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Volynets K.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1665
Surface ELO
5.9+70 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1786
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.39 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.8Won 79% in Usa (48)
Country comfort
5.8Won 63% in Usa (121)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

43 vs 48 matches

Statistics

This season
Vidmanova D.Volynets K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
75%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
47%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Vidmanova D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Volynets K.

Volynets K.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Vidmanova D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Vidmanova D.Volynets K.
Freshness·Even
75
76

Vidmanova D.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Volynets K.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
30°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 64%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw