Chia Yi Tsao vs Belle Thompson — W15 Brisbane 3 Quarter-final

W15 Brisbane 3 · ITF · Quarter-final
TPE8
Chia Yi Tsao
#929WTA
22 yrs
Last 10
WWLWWWLWLW
—
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
AUS3
Belle Thompson
#663WTA
26 yrs
Last 10
WWLWLWWWWL
Yi Tsao C.
vs
Thompson B.

Chia Yi Tsao faces Belle Thompson in the W15 Brisbane 3 quarter-final on hard. Belle Thompson holds the paper edge — ranked #663. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Yi Tsao C.68%
Thompson B.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Yi Tsao C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: Chia Yi Tsao dropped just 4 games past Re. Alame.
  • Last match: Belle Thompson dropped just 3 games past O. Symons.
  • Fatigue load: Belle Thompson carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Yi Tsao C.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Thompson B.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.03 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 12 matches

Statistics

This season
Yi Tsao C.Thompson B.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
59%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Yi Tsao C.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Thompson B.

Thompson B.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Yi Tsao C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw