Laura Samson vs Mia Ristic — Targu Mures Quarter-final

Targu Mures · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
CZE5
Laura Samson
#122WTA
1690ELO
1684Clay ELO
18 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 3 · 1st on
SRB
Mia Ristic
#219WTA
1504ELO
1479Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
Samson L.
7-6 4-6 6-2
Ristic M.
Samson L.
77462
Ristic M.
60621

Laura Samson defeated Mia Ristic in the quarterfinals of the Targu Mures tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 4-6, 6-2. Samson hit 3 aces and 8 double faults, while Ristic had 1 ace and 1 double fault. Samson converted 60% of her break points and won 6 service breaks, compared to Ristic's 45% conversion rate and 5 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Laura Samson closed it out in three sets, 7–6 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-23W60 PrerovR32clayMia Ristic6-0 6-0

Statistics

This season
Samson L.Ristic M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
53%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 41). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Samson L.49%
Ristic M.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Samson L.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Ristic M.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.6+205 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Clay Elo 1479
7.3Overall Elo 1690
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1504
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Samson L.Ristic M.
Freshness·Even
100
100

Samson L.: 16 days rest · Ristic M.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw