A. Nupbay vs Victoria MilovanovaW15 Astana 3 Quarter-final

W15 Astana 3 · ITF · Quarter-final
KAZ
A. Nupbay
#1436WTA
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
#436WTA
19 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Nupbay A.
3-6 6-7
Milovanova V.
Nupbay A.
3620
Milovanova V.
6772

Victoria Milovanova defeated A. Nupbay in the quarterfinals of the W15 Astana 3 tournament, winning 6-3, 7-6 on hard courts. Milovanova served one ace and committed one double fault, while Nupbay had no aces and three double faults. Milovanova won 60 percent of her first serves and converted 50 percent of her break points, breaking Nupbay's serve seven times to Nupbay's five.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-16W15 Astana 2R16hardVictoria Milovanova2-6 6-2 6-2

Statistics

This season
Nupbay A.Milovanova V.
1st serve in·
62%
1st serve points won·
61%
2nd serve points won·
47%
Service points won·
56%
Return points won·
46%
Break points saved·
55%
Aces / match·
0.9
Double faults / match·
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Nupbay A.21%
Milovanova V.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Milovanova V. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nupbay A.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
Surface form
8.59 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw