Zangar Nurlanuly vs D. BrandM15 Astana Quarter-final

M15 Astana · ITF · Quarter-final
#1361ATP
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
ISR
D. Brand
#1790ATP
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLW
Nurlanuly Z.
6-7 6-4 6-1
Brand D.
Nurlanuly Z.
64662
Brand D.
77411

Zangar Nurlanuly defeated D. Brand in the quarterfinals of the M15 Astana hard-court tournament, advancing with a 6-7, 6-4, 6-1 victory. Nurlanuly hit 8 aces to Brand's 1 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Brand's 33%. Nurlanuly won 71% of his first-serve points to Brand's 55%, and he broke Brand's serve 5 times to Brand's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Zangar Nurlanuly dropped the opening set before beating D. Brand 6–7 6–4 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Nurlanuly Z.Brand D.
1st serve in·
52%
1st serve points won·
59%
2nd serve points won·
35%
Service points won·
48%
Return points won·
36%
Break points saved·
44%
Aces / match·
2.0
Double faults / match·
8.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Nurlanuly Z.47%
Brand D.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Brand D.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Nurlanuly Z.Brand D.
Freshness·
97

Nurlanuly Z.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw