Maxwell Exsted vs Ozan BarisM25 Edwardsville Quarter-final

M25 Edwardsville · ITF · Quarter-final
#962ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
#433ATP
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWW
Exsted M.
3-6 1-6
Baris O.
Exsted M.
310
Baris O.
662

Ozan Baris defeated Maxwell Exsted in the quarterfinals of the M25 Edwardsville tournament, winning 6-3, 6-1 on hard courts. Baris hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, winning 81% of his first serves and converting 80% of break points. He converted four service breaks to Exsted's zero.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
74%
1st serve points won·
65%
2nd serve points won·
62%
Service points won·
64%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
63%
Aces / match·
1.0
Double faults / match·
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Exsted M.29%
Baris O.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Baris O. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.84 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.9Won 48% in Usa (23)
Country comfort
5.7Won 62% in Usa (73)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Baris O.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°CDrizzle
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 81%

Draw