Hanna Chang vs Ayana Akli — W75 Lexington Quarter-final
W75 Lexington · ITF · Quarter-final
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 31 July 2026 ·
hard
Chang H.4-6 1-6
Akli A.
Chang H.
410
Akli A.
662
Ayana Akli defeated Hanna Chang 6-4, 6-1 in the quarterfinals of the W75 Lexington tournament. Akli hit 2 aces and 1 double fault, winning 63% of her first serves and converting 56% of her break points. She won the match by taking 5 service breaks to Chang's 2.
Key context
- Match story: Ayana Akli dropped just 5 games past Hanna Chang.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Even
50%
47%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
0.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.0
3.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTCChang H.47%
Akli A.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1314
Surface ELO6.0+83 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1354
ELO gap5.3Overall Elo 1381
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
7.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form5.25 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
5.6Won 59% in Usa (236)
Country comfort6.0Won 67% in Usa (78)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 43%