Matthias Ujvary vs Niklas Waldner — M15 Wels Round of 16

M15 Wels · ITF · Round of 16

AUT

Matthias Ujvary

#1311ATP

22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLLLLLWL

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 11:30

clay

AUT

Niklas Waldner

#1370ATP

24 yrs

Last 10

WLLWLLWWLL

Ujvary M.

Waldner N.

Matthias Ujvary faces Niklas Waldner in the M15 Wels round of 16 on clay. Matthias Ujvary is the paper favourite — ranked #1311 — but Niklas Waldner arrives in form, winning 4 of their last 10 on clay to Matthias Ujvary's 2.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC

Ujvary M.47%

Waldner N.53%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Niklas Waldner dropped the opening set before beating Iannis Miletich 3–6 6–3 6–1.
Surface form: Matthias Ujvary 2 of 10, Niklas Waldner 4 of 10 on clay recently — Niklas Waldner the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: Niklas Waldner carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Ujvary M.

3.4

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Waldner N.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

0.00 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

0.0Lost last 13

Win streak

0.0Lost last 4

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

3 vs 5 matches

Statistics

This season

Ujvary M.Waldner N.

1st serve in·Even

55%

57%

1st serve points won·Even

58%

61%

2nd serve points won·Even

39%

40%

Service points won·Even

49%

52%

Return points won·Even

37%

36%

Break points saved·Clear edge

44%

57%

Aces / match·Clear edge

1.3

3.2

Double faults / match·Clear edge

2.7

1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Ujvary M.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Waldner N.

Waldner N.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Ujvary M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Ujvary M.Waldner N.

Freshness·

—

Waldner N.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

14°CDrizzle

Wind 15 km/hHumidity 88%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.