Ela Plosnik vs Alja Senica — W15 Rogaska Slatina Round of 16

W15 Rogaska Slatina · ITF · Round of 16

SLO

Ela Plosnik

#1100WTA

18 yrs

Last 10

WLWWWWWLLL

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 10:00

clay

SLO3

Alja Senica

#792WTA

18 yrs

Last 10

WLWLWLWWWW

Plosnik E.

Senica A.

Ela Plosnik faces Alja Senica in the W15 Rogaska Slatina round of 16 on clay. Alja Senica holds the paper edge — ranked #792.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC

Plosnik E.39%

Senica A.61%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Senica A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Ela Plosnik lost just 0 games in a 6–0 6–0 demolition of V. Kantoci.
Surface form: Ela Plosnik 1 of 4, Alja Senica 2 of 4 on clay recently — Alja Senica the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Plosnik E.

3.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Senica A.

4.3

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

1.52 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

3.74 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 5

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

8 vs 20 matches

Statistics

This season

Plosnik E.Senica A.

1st serve in·Even

67%

1st serve points won·Even

51%

54%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

32%

41%

Service points won·Slight edge

45%

50%

Return points won·Slight edge

39%

45%

Break points saved·Slight edge

44%

49%

Aces / match·Even

0.9

0.6

Double faults / match·Dominant

4.8

3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Plosnik E.serving30% hold

wins 42% of points on serve vs Senica A.

Senica A.serving47% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Plosnik E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

28°CMainly clear

Wind 3 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.