Pigossi vs Uebelhoer — W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas R16

W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · ITF · Round of 16

BRA

Laura Pigossi

#239WTA

1478ELO

1453Clay ELO

31 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWWWLLLL

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 11:00

clay

GER

Caroline Uebelhoer

#262WTA

1432ELO

1415Clay ELO

30 yrs

Last 10

WLLLWLLWLW

Pigossi L.

Uebelhoer C.

Laura Pigossi faces Caroline Uebelhoer in the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas round of 16 on clay. Laura Pigossi holds the paper edge — ranked #239, a roughly 40-point clay Elo advantage. They have met 2 times, the series level at 1–1.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC

Pigossi L.55%

Uebelhoer C.45%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Freshness: Laura Pigossi comes in with 16 days of rest and 0 games in 14d, vs Caroline Uebelhoer's 9 and 28.
Last match: Laura Pigossi dropped just 4 games past Polona Hercog.
Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 1–1. Last met at W75 Blois 1 2025.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

2 common opponents · Pigossi L. 0–2 · Uebelhoer C. 1–1 · small sample

Both lost · same surface▾

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Pigossi L.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Uebelhoer C.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.5+38 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.5Clay Elo 1415

5.6Overall Elo 1478

ELO gap

4.4Overall Elo 1432

7.8Leads 2–0 on clay

H2H

2.2Trails 0–2 on clay

4.15 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

4.96 of last 10 on clay

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Fatigue & Travel

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

31 vs 29 matches

Statistics

This season

Pigossi L.Uebelhoer C.

1st serve in·Even

68%

1st serve points won·Even

55%

59%

2nd serve points won·Even

46%

49%

Service points won·Even

52%

55%

Return points won·Even

47%

46%

Break points saved·Even

55%

54%

Aces / match·Slight edge

1.2

1.8

Double faults / match·Slight edge

2.9

2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Pigossi L.serving34% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Uebelhoer C.

Uebelhoer C.serving39% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Pigossi L.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Pigossi L.Uebelhoer C.

Freshness·Slight edge

100

Pigossi L.: 16 days rest · Uebelhoer C.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

35°CClear

Wind 6 km/hHumidity 22%

Head to head

1–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-06-18	W75 Blois 1	R16	clay	Laura Pigossi	7-6(4) 1-6 6-2
2019-05-13	W60+H La Bisbal D'Emporda	Q32	clay	Caroline Uebelhoer	6-0 3-6 10-8

Laura Pigossi vs Caroline Uebelhoer — W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas Round of 16