Alexander Weis vs Vladyslav Orlov

M25 Bolzano · ITF · Quarter-final

ITA7

Alexander Weis

#531ATP

29 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWWWWLWW

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 18:30

clay

UKR2

Vladyslav Orlov

#430ATP

31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWLWWWWWWW

Weis A.

Orlov V.

Alexander Weis faces Vladyslav Orlov in the M25 Bolzano quarter-final on clay. Vladyslav Orlov holds the paper edge — ranked #430. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC

Weis A.59%

Orlov V.41%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Weis A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Vladyslav Orlov dropped just 3 games past Luca Castagnola.
Fatigue load: Alexander Weis carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 2 in the past fortnight.
Surface form: Alexander Weis 8 of 10, Vladyslav Orlov 9 of 10 on clay recently — Vladyslav Orlov the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Weis A.

4.2

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Orlov V.

4.2

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

4.24 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

3.94 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 2

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

7 vs 27 matches

Statistics

This season

Weis A.Orlov V.

1st serve in·Slight edge

64%

57%

1st serve points won·Even

70%

66%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

58%

51%

Service points won·Slight edge

66%

59%

Return points won·Slight edge

37%

44%

Break points saved·Clear edge

78%

57%

Aces / match·Slight edge

2.7

2.0

Double faults / match·Dominant

0.7

3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Weis A.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Orlov V.

Orlov V.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Weis A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure

Weis A.Orlov V.

Clutch Rating·Even

Break points saved·Dominant

Break points won·Even

Deciding sets·Clear edge

Tiebreaks·Dominant

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Conditions

Weather forecast

26°CMainly clear

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 31%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Alexander Weis vs Vladyslav Orlov — M25 Bolzano Quarter-final