Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Nicolas OliveiraM15 Sao Paulo Round of 16

M15 Sao Paulo · ITF · Round of 16
#575ATP
1154ELO
1144Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWWWLWL
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
#817ATP
20 yrs
Last 10
WLLWWWWWWW
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.
vs
Oliveira N.

Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos faces Nicolas Oliveira in the M15 Sao Paulo round of 16 on clay. Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos holds the paper edge — ranked #575, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.71%
Oliveira N.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.22 of last 5 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 1 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Dominant
59%
25%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

wins 59% of points on serve vs Oliveira N.

Oliveira N.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Andre Saraiva Dos Santos P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 57%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-21M25 Maceio 1R16clayPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos6-3 7-5

Draw