I. Sagmar vs Eszter Meri — W15 Rogaska Slatina Round of 16

W15 Rogaska Slatina · ITF · Round of 16
ROU
I. Sagmar
#1089WTA
18 yrs
Last 10
WLLWLWLWLW
—
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
SVK5
Eszter Meri
#852WTA
23 yrs · 65 cm
Last 10
WLLLWWWWWL
Sagmar I.
vs
Meri E.

I. Sagmar faces Eszter Meri in the W15 Rogaska Slatina round of 16 on clay. Eszter Meri holds the paper edge — ranked #852. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Sagmar I.27%
Meri E.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Meri E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: I. Sagmar dropped the opening set before beating G. Levinsky 3–6 6–1 6–3.
  • Last match: Eszter Meri handed Panna Bartha a second-set bagel in a 6–1 6–0 win.
  • Fatigue load: I. Sagmar carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sagmar I.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Meri E.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

3 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season
Sagmar I.Meri E.
1st serve in·Even
65%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
50%
58%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
29%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
43%
54%
Return points won·Even
54%
55%
Break points saved·Slight edge
32%
40%
Aces / match·Even
0.7
0.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sagmar I.serving21% hold

wins 37% of points on serve vs Meri E.

Meri E.serving38% hold

wins 45% of points on serve vs Sagmar I.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
30°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw