M. Mbithi vs Niels Peter Van Noord — M15 Huamantla 4 Round of 16
M15 Huamantla 4 · ITF · Round of 16
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Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
Mbithi M.vs
Peter Van Noord N.
M. Mbithi faces Niels Peter Van Noord in the M15 Huamantla 4 round of 16 on hard. M. Mbithi holds the paper edge — ranked #819.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCMbithi M.74%
Peter Van Noord N.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Mbithi M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: M. Mbithi dropped just 6 games past Andres Delgadillo.
- Fatigue load: M. Mbithi carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: M. Mbithi 5 of 8, Niels Peter Van Noord 3 of 8 on hard recently — M. Mbithi the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
2 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
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71%
1st serve points won·
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62%
2nd serve points won·
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45%
Service points won·
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57%
Return points won·
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36%
Break points saved·
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58%
Aces / match·
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3.5
Double faults / match·
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1.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 25%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.