Mathilde Ngijol Carre vs Ariana Geerlings β€” W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 Round of 16

W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 Β· ITF Β· Round of 16
#1405WTA
18 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WLLLLWLWLW
0 β€” 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 Β·
clay
#910WTA
1466ELO
1428Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
Ngijol Carre M.
2-6 1-6
Geerlings A.
Ngijol Carre M.
210
Geerlings A.
662

Ariana Geerlings defeated Mathilde Ngijol Carre in the Round of 16 at the W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 clay tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 6-1 in favor of Geerlings.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·
66%
β€”
1st serve points wonΒ·
52%
β€”
2nd serve points wonΒ·
51%
β€”
Service points wonΒ·
52%
β€”
Return points wonΒ·
43%
β€”
Break points savedΒ·
59%
β€”
Aces / matchΒ·
1.0
β€”
Double faults / matchΒ·
5.5
β€”

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 07:50 UTC
Ngijol Carre M.20%
Geerlings A.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite Β· Geerlings A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
27Β°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw