Anastasia Tikhonova vs Tena LukasW75 Hechingen Round of 16

W75 Hechingen · ITF · Round of 16
#263WTA
1347ELO
1319Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWLLLW
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
#454WTA
1356ELO
1344Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLLWLWWLL
Tikhonova A.
vs
Lukas T.

Anastasia Tikhonova faces Tena Lukas in the W75 Hechingen round of 16 on clay. Anastasia Tikhonova is the paper favourite — ranked #263 — but Tena Lukas arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 9 on clay to Anastasia Tikhonova's 3.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Tikhonova A.36%
Lukas T.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lukas T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1319
Surface ELO
5.3+25 Clay Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1347
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1356
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.02 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

21 vs 28 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
52%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
41%
Service points won·Even
53%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
48%
Break points saved·Even
52%
50%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Tikhonova A.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Lukas T.

Lukas T.serving48% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Tikhonova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
0
4
Break points saved·Slight edge
13
21
Break points won·Slight edge
78
89
Deciding sets·Even
1
1
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Tikhonova A.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
36°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 18%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw