L. Talan Lopatic vs Ignacio Parisca — M15 Xativa Round of 16

M15 Xativa · ITF · Round of 16

SLO

L. Talan Lopatic

#1047ATP

18 yrs

Last 10

WLWWLWWWLW

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 17:30

clay

VEN7

Ignacio Parisca

#758ATP

20 yrs

Last 10

WLLWLWLWWW

Talan Lopatic L.

Parisca I.

L. Talan Lopatic faces Ignacio Parisca in the M15 Xativa round of 16 on clay. Ignacio Parisca holds the paper edge — ranked #758. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC

Talan Lopatic L.32%

Parisca I.68%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Parisca I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Ignacio Parisca dropped just 2 games past Jordi Garcia Mestre.
Last match: L. Talan Lopatic handed N. P. Montero a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–4 win.
Surface form: L. Talan Lopatic 7 of 10, Ignacio Parisca 6 of 10 on clay recently — L. Talan Lopatic the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Talan Lopatic L.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Parisca I.

4.4

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

Surface form

4.93 of last 6 on clay

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

3 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season

Talan Lopatic L.Parisca I.

1st serve in·Clear edge

77%

63%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

58%

65%

2nd serve points won·Even

49%

51%

Service points won·Even

56%

60%

Return points won·Slight edge

37%

45%

Break points saved·Even

57%

54%

Aces / match·Slight edge

0.3

0.9

Double faults / match·Dominant

1.0

2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Talan Lopatic L.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Parisca I.

Parisca I.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Talan Lopatic L.

Serve advantage — Parisca I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

38°CClear

Wind 12 km/hHumidity 30%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.