Lekomtseva vs Petkovic — W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 R16

W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 · ITF · Round of 16

RUS

Ustiniya Lekomtseva

#922WTA

19 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLLWWLWW

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 10:30

clay

GER5

Anna Petkovic

#692WTA

21 yrs

Last 10

WLLLWWLLLW

Lekomtseva U.

Petkovic A.

Ustiniya Lekomtseva faces Anna Petkovic in the W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 round of 16 on clay. Anna Petkovic holds the paper edge — ranked #692.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC

Lekomtseva U.30%

Petkovic A.70%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Petkovic A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Ustiniya Lekomtseva lost just 0 games in a 6–0 6–0 demolition of Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals.
Last match: Anna Petkovic dropped just 5 games past Mirjana Jovanovic.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Lekomtseva U.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Petkovic A.

4.8

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.12 of last 7 on clay

Surface form

4.85 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0Lost last 4

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

13 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season

Lekomtseva U.Petkovic A.

1st serve in·Even

66%

62%

1st serve points won·Even

56%

52%

2nd serve points won·Even

41%

38%

Service points won·Even

51%

47%

Return points won·Slight edge

48%

37%

Break points saved·Clear edge

53%

39%

Aces / match·Even

0.5

1.0

Double faults / match·Slight edge

3.8

3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Lekomtseva U.serving54% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Petkovic A.

Petkovic A.serving36% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Lekomtseva U.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Lekomtseva U.Petkovic A.

Freshness·

—

Petkovic A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

27°CClear

Wind 4 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Ustiniya Lekomtseva vs Anna Petkovic — W15 Kursumlijska Banja 11 Round of 16