Maria Sholokhova vs Ha Eum Lee — W15 Astana 3 Round of 16

W15 Astana 3 · ITF · Round of 16

RUS

Maria Sholokhova

#699WTA

22 yrs

Last 10

WLWWWLWWWL

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 08:30

hard

KOR

Ha Eum Lee

#743WTA

18 yrs

Last 10

WLWLLWLWWW

Sholokhova M.

Eum Lee H.

Maria Sholokhova faces Ha Eum Lee in the W15 Astana 3 round of 16 on hard. Maria Sholokhova holds the paper edge — ranked #699. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC

Sholokhova M.69%

Eum Lee H.31%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sholokhova M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Ha Eum Lee dropped just 3 games past Aruzhan Sagandikova.
Last match: Maria Sholokhova handed S. Olimjanova a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–1 win.
Fatigue load: Ha Eum Lee carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Sholokhova M.

5.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Eum Lee H.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.67 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

7.57 of last 10 on hard

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

3 vs 23 matches

Statistics

This season

Sholokhova M.Eum Lee H.

1st serve in·Even

63%

67%

1st serve points won·Slight edge

64%

59%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

36%

45%

Service points won·Even

53%

55%

Return points won·Even

45%

46%

Break points saved·Slight edge

45%

54%

Aces / match·Even

0.7

0.6

Double faults / match·Dominant

9.0

2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Sholokhova M.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Eum Lee H.

Eum Lee H.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Sholokhova M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

27°CClear

Wind 3 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.