Lucas Marionneau vs Valentin Lapalu — M15 Dublin Round of 16
M15 Dublin · ITF · Round of 16
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Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
Marionneau L.vs
Lapalu V.
Lucas Marionneau faces Valentin Lapalu in the M15 Dublin round of 16 on hard. Lucas Marionneau holds the paper edge — ranked #1172.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCMarionneau L.51%
Lapalu V.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Lucas Marionneau dropped just 4 games past B. Fitzpatrick.
- Surface form: Lucas Marionneau 6 of 9, Valentin Lapalu 4 of 9 on hard recently — Lucas Marionneau the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Lucas Marionneau carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsNo common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.53 of last 6 on hard
Surface formWin streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
5 matches
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
60%
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1st serve points won·
77%
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2nd serve points won·
56%
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Service points won·
69%
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Return points won·
39%
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Break points saved·
53%
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Aces / match·
6.4
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Double faults / match·
1.6
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Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Conditions
Weather forecast
19°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 39%
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.