Bruno Kuzuhara vs Noah ZamoraM25 Edwardsville Round of 16

M25 Edwardsville · ITF · Round of 16
#605ATP
1191ELO
1183Hard ELO
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLLWWLL
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#787ATP
23 yrs
Last 10
WLLWWWWLWW
Kuzuhara B.
vs
Zamora N.

Bruno Kuzuhara faces Noah Zamora in the M25 Edwardsville round of 16 on hard. Bruno Kuzuhara is the paper favourite — ranked #605 — but Noah Zamora arrives in form, winning 7 of their last 10 on hard to Bruno Kuzuhara's 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Kuzuhara B.50%
Zamora N.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.82 of last 5 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
5.5Won 59% in Usa (70)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

17 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
65%
49%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kuzuhara B.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Zamora N.

Zamora N.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kuzuhara B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
87
98

Kuzuhara B.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Zamora N.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 64%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw