Sandugash Kenzhibayeva vs Daria ZelinskayaW15 Astana 3 Round of 16

W15 Astana 3 · ITF · Round of 16
#1434WTA
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#606WTA
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLWLWW
Kenzhibayeva S.
4-6 2-6
Zelinskaya D.
Kenzhibayeva S.
420
Zelinskaya D.
662

Daria Zelinskaya defeated Sandugash Kenzhibayeva in the Round of 16 at the W15 Astana 3 tournament, winning 6-4, 6-2 on hard courts. Zelinskaya hit 5 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 50% of her break points and winning 93% of her first-serve points. Kenzhibayeva had 1 service break and converted 33% of her break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
64%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
36%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
48%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
41%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
7.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Kenzhibayeva S.19%
Zelinskaya D.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Zelinskaya D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.53 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.34 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Zelinskaya D.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw