Theo Papamalamis vs Noah Karma — M15 Strasbourg Round of 16

M15 Strasbourg · ITF · Round of 16
FRA3
Theo Papamalamis
#707ATP
20 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWLWWW
—
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
SUI
Noah Karma
#1413ATP
18 yrs
Last 10
WLWWLLWWWW
Papamalamis T.
vs
Karma N.

Theo Papamalamis faces Noah Karma in the M15 Strasbourg round of 16 on clay. Theo Papamalamis holds the paper edge — ranked #707. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Papamalamis T.77%
Karma N.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Papamalamis T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: Theo Papamalamis dropped just 3 games past Timeo Trufelli.
  • Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
  • Surface form: Both 3 of 5 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Papamalamis T.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Karma N.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

7 matches

Statistics

This season
Papamalamis T.Karma N.
1st serve in·
57%
—
1st serve points won·
66%
—
2nd serve points won·
52%
—
Service points won·
60%
—
Return points won·
46%
—
Break points saved·
67%
—
Aces / match·
2.1
—
Double faults / match·
2.1
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Conditions

Weather forecast
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 35%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw