Pavlos Tsitsipas vs R. Jones — M15 Dublin Round of 16

M15 Dublin · ITF · Round of 16
GRE8
Pavlos Tsitsipas
#989ATP
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWLWWWWL
—
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
GBR
R. Jones
#1324ATP
22 yrs
Last 10
WWWLWWWLWW
Tsitsipas P.
vs
Jones R.

Pavlos Tsitsipas faces R. Jones in the M15 Dublin round of 16 on hard. Pavlos Tsitsipas holds the paper edge — ranked #989. Recent hard form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Tsitsipas P.33%
Jones R.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Jones R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: R. Jones dropped just 3 games past J. Fradkin.
  • Fatigue load: Pavlos Tsitsipas carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 7 of 9 on hard recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tsitsipas P.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Jones R.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.81 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 8
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

11 matches

Statistics

This season
Tsitsipas P.Jones R.
1st serve in·
56%
—
1st serve points won·
72%
—
2nd serve points won·
50%
—
Service points won·
62%
—
Return points won·
34%
—
Break points saved·
63%
—
Aces / match·
5.5
—
Double faults / match·
5.0
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Conditions

Weather forecast
16°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 59%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw