Martha Matoula vs Valentina IvanovW50 Knokke-Heist Round of 16

W50 Knokke-Heist · ITF · Round of 16
#316WTA
1400ELO
1399Clay ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWWLW
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
#527WTA
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWLWWW
Matoula M.
vs
Ivanov V.

Martha Matoula faces Valentina Ivanov in the W50 Knokke-Heist round of 16 on clay. Martha Matoula is the paper favourite — ranked #316 — but Valentina Ivanov rides a 3-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Matoula M.55%
Ivanov V.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

31 vs 37 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Service points won·Even
54%
54%
Return points won·Even
47%
51%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Even
0.7
0.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
6.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Matoula M.serving28% hold

wins 41% of points on serve vs Ivanov V.

Ivanov V.serving36% hold

wins 44% of points on serve vs Matoula M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Matoula M.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 62%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw