Ugo Humbert vs Ben Shelton — Washington Round of 16
FRA
USA2
Humbert U.
Ugo Humbert faces Ben Shelton in the Washington round of 16 on hard. Ben Shelton holds the paper edge — ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 1–0, a roughly 80-point hard Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Shelton B. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Under pressure: In the tight moments, Ben Shelton has rated higher under pressure (Clutch Rating 76 vs 37).
- Serve & return: Ben Shelton leads on Serve Rating (76), Ugo Humbert on Return Rating (13).
- Head-to-head: Ben Shelton leads the head-to-head 1–0. Last met at Australian Open 2026.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadHumbert U.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Shelton B.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | R128 | hard | Ben Shelton | 6-3 7-6 7-6 |