Carmen Andreea Herea vs Annika Penickova β€” W35 Florence Round of 16

W35 Florence Β· ITF Β· Round of 16
#477WTA
$11kYTD
$41kCAREER
20 yrs
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWWWLLWLLW
0 β€” 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 Β·
hard
#575WTA
17 yrs Β· Left-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Andreea Herea C.
3-6 1-6
Penickova A.
Andreea Herea C.
310
Penickova A.
662

Annika Penickova defeated Carmen Andreea Herea 6-3, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the W35 Florence tournament. Penickova hit 4 aces and 3 double faults, winning 67% of her first serves and converting 50% of break points. She secured 5 service breaks to Herea's 1.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
64%
59%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Even
44%
42%
Service points wonΒ·Even
55%
52%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
44%
49%
Break points savedΒ·Slight edge
58%
49%
Aces / matchΒ·Slight edge
1.6
2.9
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
5.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 10:50 UTC
Andreea Herea C.64%
Penickova A.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge Β· Andreea Herea C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.54 of last 7 on hard
Surface form
5.95 of last 9 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.9Won 66% in Usa (29)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
24Β°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw