Carmen Andreea Herea vs Annika PenickovaW35 Florence Round of 16

W35 Florence · ITF · Round of 16
#510WTA
20 yrs
Last 10
WLLWLLWWWW
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
hard
#917WTA
16 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10
WLLWLWLLWW
Andreea Herea C.
vs
Penickova A.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Andreea Herea C.64%
Penickova A.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Andreea Herea C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.54 of last 7 on hard
Surface form
5.95 of last 9 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.9Won 66% in Usa (29)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

10 vs 9 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
52%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
49%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Andreea Herea C.serving46% hold

wins 48% of points on serve vs Penickova A.

Penickova A.serving50% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Andreea Herea C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Andreea Herea C.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
22°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 71%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw