Iiro Vasa vs Jonas Gundacker — M15 Wels Round of 16

M15 Wels · ITF · Round of 16

FIN6

Iiro Vasa

#995ATP

23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WLLLWWWWLL

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 10:00

clay

AUT

Jonas Gundacker

#1876ATP

23 yrs

Last 10

WLWWLLWLWW

Vasa I.

Gundacker J.

Iiro Vasa faces Jonas Gundacker in the M15 Wels round of 16 on clay. Iiro Vasa holds the paper edge — ranked #995. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC

Vasa I.49%

Gundacker J.51%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Jonas Gundacker dropped just 6 games past M. Novansky.
Last match: Iiro Vasa handed P. Karthik a first-set bagel in a 6–0 6–3 win.
Surface form: Both 3 of 6 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Vasa I.

4.5

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Gundacker J.

4.6

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

2.42 of last 8 on clay

Surface form

0.0Lost last 3

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

5 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season

Vasa I.Gundacker J.

1st serve in·Slight edge

62%

54%

1st serve points won·Clear edge

82%

61%

2nd serve points won·Clear edge

56%

37%

Service points won·Clear edge

72%

50%

Return points won·Clear edge

41%

27%

Break points saved·Dominant

79%

43%

Aces / match·Dominant

5.6

1.3

Double faults / match·Clear edge

0.8

2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Vasa I.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Gundacker J.

Gundacker J.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Vasa I.

Serve advantage — Vasa I.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Freshness

Recent load

Vasa I.Gundacker J.

Freshness·

—

Vasa I.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

14°CDrizzle

Wind 17 km/hHumidity 94%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.