Sophia Ksandinov vs Daria Gorska — W15 Bielsko Biala R16

W15 Bielsko Biala · ITF · Round of 16

GER

Sophia Ksandinov

19 yrs

Last 10

WWLLLWLWLW

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 10:00

clay

POL

Daria Gorska

#1225WTA

21 yrs

Last 10

WLWLWLLLWL

Ksandinov S.

Gorska D.

Sophia Ksandinov faces Daria Gorska in the W15 Bielsko Biala round of 16 on clay. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC

Ksandinov S.51%

Gorska D.49%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Sophia Ksandinov dropped just 3 games past Magdalena Baniak.
Last match: Daria Gorska edged Amelia Paszun in two tight sets (6–4 7–6).
Surface form: Both 3 of 5 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Ksandinov S.

3.9

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Gorska D.

4.0

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

2.62 of last 8 on clay

Surface form

2.02 of last 9 on clay

0.0Lost last 2

Win streak

0.0Lost last 3

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

3 vs 3 matches

Statistics

This season

Ksandinov S.Gorska D.

1st serve in·Slight edge

67%

62%

1st serve points won·Even

56%

59%

2nd serve points won·Even

43%

41%

Service points won·Even

52%

Return points won·Even

44%

43%

Break points saved·Dominant

64%

32%

Aces / match·Clear edge

1.0

3.7

Double faults / match·Slight edge

3.3

4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Ksandinov S.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Gorska D.

Gorska D.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Ksandinov S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

28°CClear

Wind 14 km/hHumidity 42%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Sophia Ksandinov vs Daria Gorska — W15 Bielsko Biala Round of 16