Franco Roncadelli vs Norbert GombosLiberec Round of 16

Liberec · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#225ATP
1495ELO
1478Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10
WLWLWWLLWL
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
SVIJANY COURT · 1st on
#423ATP
1472ELO
1455Clay ELO
35 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWLLW
Roncadelli F.
vs
Gombos N.

Franco Roncadelli faces Norbert Gombos in the Liberec round of 16 on clay. Franco Roncadelli is the paper favourite — ranked #225, a roughly 20-point clay Elo advantage — but Norbert Gombos rides a 3-match win streak. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Roncadelli F.59%
Gombos N.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Roncadelli F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+23 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1455
5.3Overall Elo 1495
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1472
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

25 vs 16 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
74%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.9
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Roncadelli F.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gombos N.

Gombos N.serving55% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Roncadelli F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
41
14
Break points saved·Dominant
19
70
Break points won·Dominant
59
5
Deciding sets·Dominant
85
50
Tiebreaks·
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
64

Roncadelli F.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Gombos N.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 69 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather forecast
28°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw