Arthur Nagel vs Axel Garcian — M15 Strasbourg Round of 16

M15 Strasbourg · ITF · Round of 16
FRA1
Arthur Nagel
#359ATP
$23kYTD
$59kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
FRA
Axel Garcian
#993ATP
24 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWL
Nagel A.
7-5 6-3
Garcian A.
Nagel A.
762
Garcian A.
530

Arthur Nagel defeated Axel Garcian 7-5, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Strasbourg clay court tournament. The match was part of the event's main draw. Nagel advanced with the win.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Arthur Nagel closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-23M15+H Bagnoles de l'Orne 1R16clayAxel Garcian6-2 6-0
2024-10-23M25 Sarreguemines 1R32carpetArthur Nagel6-2 5-7 7-6(4)

Statistics

This season
Nagel A.Garcian A.
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
43%
Break points saved·Even
53%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.6
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Nagel A.59%
Garcian A.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Nagel A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Nagel A.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Garcian A.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
Surface form
1.31 of last 7 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 7
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
31°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 36%

Draw