Yannik Kelm vs A. Funk — M25 Wetzlar Round of 16

M25 Wetzlar · ITF · Round of 16

GER

Yannik Kelm

#460ATP

21 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 11:20

clay

GER

A. Funk

#983ATP

20 yrs

Last 10

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Kelm Y.

Funk A.

Yannik Kelm faces A. Funk in the M25 Wetzlar round of 16 on clay. Yannik Kelm holds the paper edge — ranked #460.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC

Kelm Y.67%

Funk A.33%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kelm Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Yannik Kelm rising, A. Funk cooling.
Last match: Yannik Kelm edged Deney Wassermann in two tight sets (7–6 7–5).
Surface form: Yannik Kelm 8 of 10, A. Funk 5 of 10 on clay recently — Yannik Kelm the sharper of late.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Kelm Y.

3.4

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Funk A.

6.0

Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Form & Matchup

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

0.00 of last 6 on clay

Surface form

0.0Lost last 8

Win streak

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

18 vs 7 matches

Statistics

This season

Kelm Y.Funk A.

1st serve in·Slight edge

60%

54%

1st serve points won·Even

67%

70%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

52%

47%

Service points won·Even

61%

59%

Return points won·Even

43%

39%

Break points saved·Clear edge

62%

48%

Aces / match·Slight edge

1.6

2.7

Double faults / match·Clear edge

3.2

4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Kelm Y.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Funk A.

Funk A.serving59% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kelm Y.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

28°CMainly clear

Wind 7 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.