M. Arce Fernandez vs Carlos Lopez Montagud — M15 Xativa Round of 16
Arce Fernandez M.M. Arce Fernandez faces Carlos Lopez Montagud in the M15 Xativa round of 16 on clay. Carlos Lopez Montagud is the paper favourite — ranked #626 — but M. Arce Fernandez arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on clay to Carlos Lopez Montagud's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Lopez Montagud C. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: M. Arce Fernandez advanced when Filippo Mazzola retired.
- Surface form: M. Arce Fernandez 6 of 10, Carlos Lopez Montagud 4 of 10 on clay recently — M. Arce Fernandez the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Both played one three-setter in the past fortnight — neither arrives fresh.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.