Ammar Elamin vs Matt Ponchet — M15 Dublin Round of 16
Elamin A.
Ammar Elamin faces Matt Ponchet in the M15 Dublin round of 16 on hard. Matt Ponchet is the paper favourite — ranked #788 — but Ammar Elamin arrives in form, winning 5 of their last 7 on hard to Matt Ponchet's 3.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Elamin A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Last match: Ammar Elamin dropped the opening set before beating A. Gabet 3–6 7–6 6–1.
- Last match: Matt Ponchet dropped just 4 games past M. Kumar.
- Surface form: Ammar Elamin 5 of 7, Matt Ponchet 3 of 7 on hard recently — Ammar Elamin the sharper of late.
Common opponents
Last 12 monthsUmpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. Small sample — read as indicative. About
Freshness
Recent loadPonchet M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.