Ammar Elamin vs Matt Ponchet β€” M15 Dublin Round of 16

M15 Dublin Β· ITF Β· Round of 16
#1421ATP
24 yrs Β· 185 cm Β· Right-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LWLWLWLLLW
0 β€” 2
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 Β·
hard
#772ATP
22 yrs Β· 196 cm Β· Left-handed
Last 10 Β· pre-match
LLLLWLLLLL
Elamin A.
4-6 3-6
Ponchet M.
Elamin A.
430
Ponchet M.
662

Matt Ponchet defeated Ammar Elamin 6-4, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Dublin hard court tournament. Ponchet hit 13 aces to Elamin's 3 and converted 43% of break points, while Elamin converted none. Ponchet won 87% of his first serves to Elamin's 74%, and he secured 3 service breaks to Elamin's 0.

Generated automatically from Umpiry match data.

Key context

  • Match story: Matt Ponchet closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve inΒ·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points wonΒ·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points wonΒ·Slight edge
50%
42%
Service points wonΒ·Even
57%
54%
Return points wonΒ·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points savedΒ·Clear edge
29%
51%
Aces / matchΒ·Clear edge
3.0
1.4
Double faults / matchΒ·Dominant
1.0
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match Β· updated 10:50 UTC
Elamin A.64%
Ponchet M.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge Β· Elamin A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial Β· surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (βˆ’0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors β€” matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation β€” into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
20Β°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw