Ekaterina Maklakova vs Ingkar Dyussebay

W15 Astana 3 · ITF · Round of 16

RUS1

Ekaterina Maklakova

#440WTA

1343ELO

1318Hard ELO

22 yrs · Right-handed

Last 10

WLWWWWWWWL

—

Sets

Thursday, 30 July 2026 · 08:30

hard

KAZ

Ingkar Dyussebay

#1295WTA

19 yrs

Last 10

WLLWWLWLWL

Maklakova E.

Dyussebay I.

Ekaterina Maklakova faces Ingkar Dyussebay in the W15 Astana 3 round of 16 on hard. Ekaterina Maklakova holds the paper edge — ranked #440, leading the head-to-head 1–0.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 05:50 UTC

Maklakova E.86%

Dyussebay I.14%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Maklakova E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Form trend: Form trajectories diverge: Ekaterina Maklakova rising, Ingkar Dyussebay cooling.
Last match: Ekaterina Maklakova dropped the opening set before beating E. Kuznetsova 4–6 6–3 6–2.
Last match: Ingkar Dyussebay dropped just 2 games past Yuka Hosoki.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Maklakova E.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Dyussebay I.

4.2

Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

7.8Leads 2–0 on hard

H2H

2.2Trails 0–2 on hard

6.36 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

4.14 of last 10 on hard

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

16 vs 4 matches

Statistics

This season

Maklakova E.Dyussebay I.

1st serve in·Slight edge

61%

51%

1st serve points won·Even

62%

64%

2nd serve points won·Even

46%

Service points won·Even

56%

55%

Return points won·Slight edge

44%

49%

Break points saved·Even

54%

55%

Aces / match·Even

3.4

3.3

Double faults / match·Dominant

3.8

7.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Maklakova E.serving53% hold

wins 51% of points on serve vs Dyussebay I.

Dyussebay I.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Maklakova E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

27°CClear

Wind 3 km/hHumidity 32%

Head to head

1–0

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2025-10-22	W15 Tashkent 3	R32	hard	Ekaterina Maklakova	6-3 1-6 6-3

Ekaterina Maklakova vs Ingkar Dyussebay — W15 Astana 3 Round of 16