Sebastian Sorger vs Viktor Durasovic — M25 Bolzano Quarter-final

M25 Bolzano · ITF · Quarter-final
AUT5
Sebastian Sorger
#476ATP
20 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWWWLWWLW
—
Sets
Thursday, 30 July 2026 ·
clay
Viktor Durasovic
NOR4
Viktor Durasovic
#490ATP
1320ELO
1263Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWWLL
Sorger S.
vs
Durasovic V.

Sebastian Sorger faces Viktor Durasovic in the M25 Bolzano quarter-final on clay. Sebastian Sorger holds the paper edge — ranked #476. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Sorger S.62%
Durasovic V.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sorger S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

  • Last match: Sebastian Sorger dropped just 6 games past M. Figl.
  • Fatigue load: Viktor Durasovic carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
  • Surface form: Both 6 of 9 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.

Common opponents

Last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Sorger S.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Durasovic V.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.71 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 11
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

14 vs 17 matches

Statistics

This season
Sorger S.Durasovic V.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
59%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.9
6.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Sorger S.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Durasovic V.

Durasovic V.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sorger S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
24°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Draw